Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.480636 0.558515 0.644532 0.746520 0.864091 0.995320 1.152864
2025-03-16 0.336862 0.436978 0.559639 0.720696 0.926339 1.179874 1.515984
2025-03-23 0.286955 0.402166 0.553953 0.767943 1.061232 1.448479 1.998013
2025-03-30 0.232090 0.346847 0.507405 0.747447 1.096167 1.583169 2.313730
2025-04-06 0.190926 0.301830 0.465362 0.722672 1.115848 1.692220 2.599264
2025-04-13 0.159882 0.265909 0.429823 0.699855 1.131565 1.792432 2.877772
2025-04-20 0.141561 0.246528 0.415900 0.706742 1.191058 1.961855 3.277069
2025-04-27 0.132177 0.240073 0.421101 0.743921 1.301741 2.221337 3.845620
2025-05-04 0.121516 0.229673 0.417960 0.765894 1.388405 2.449141 4.384392
2025-05-11 0.110191 0.216340 0.407750 0.773651 1.450308 2.640002 4.878075
2025-05-18 0.098866 0.201326 0.392423 0.769774 1.489991 2.794656 5.321653
2025-05-25 0.088925 0.187544 0.377519 0.764486 1.525660 2.944319 5.769436
2025-06-01 0.080570 0.176032 0.366006 0.765227 1.574595 3.126641 6.304275
2025-06-08 0.070275 0.159118 0.341814 0.737987 1.565941 3.199615 6.638555
2025-06-15 0.068457 0.160025 0.353920 0.786311 1.714696 3.593572 7.647264
2025-06-22 0.060698 0.146684 0.334393 0.765340 1.716913 3.693941 8.069400
2025-06-29 0.053575 0.133754 0.314078 0.739989 1.706467 3.766389 8.439460
2025-07-06 0.047484 0.122366 0.295727 0.716641 1.697398 3.840056 8.818443
2025-07-13 0.044139 0.117173 0.290897 0.723688 1.757297 4.067937 9.557237
2025-07-20 0.043020 0.117398 0.298826 0.761731 1.892796 4.475631 10.738794
2025-07-27 0.041018 0.115066 0.300278 0.784214 1.993851 4.815079 11.797118
2025-08-03 0.038381 0.110675 0.296084 0.792151 2.060455 5.081229 12.709733
2025-08-10 0.035393 0.104894 0.287629 0.788184 2.096958 5.279530 13.478858